The future of nuclear war

Alexei Turchin
80% available
20%
Owners

The article: “The future of nuclear war”

Fundamental Justification

The goal of my project is to increase awareness about the new ways how nuclear war can happen

What outcomes were to be expected before you started the project? What were unusually good and unusually bad possible outcomes? (Please avoid hindsight bias and take the interests of all sentient beings into account.)

Unusually good outcome would be that the work will be cited by leading nuclear strategists and become a part a common knowledge in the field.

Good outcome - if it impact thinking inside EA community.

What actual outcomes are you aware of?

I am aware of the number of likes and reads of the article.

Who can make a legitimate claim to a fraction of the impact, and have you talked to them?

Who are the current owners of the impact and what fraction do they each own?

Procedural Questions

What is your minimum valuation under which you’ll not sell any shares in your impact?

Starting from 250 USD

What would you have done had there been no chance to get retro funding? (This helps us assess our impact but has no effect on our evaluation of the certificate’s impact.)

Actually, I always hope on some form of retrofunding.

What can we improve about this process?

Right to retroactive fundingWork: 2022-05-01 to 2022-05-22Impact: all time, unscopedNo audit
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